Election results

Thu 8 Oct

1. Tongatapu 2 By-Election

   Alvin Lafu Sika Winner

   Other outcomes in this event

   1. Mounu Uaisele
   2. Mele Teusivi 'Amanaki
   3. Malakai Matafonuafo'ou 'Ofa ki Wakawaka Koloamatangi
   4. 'Ilaisa Lepolo Taunisila
   5. Sione Harvard Tupouniua
   6. 'Olioni Manoa
   7. Lei Paasi
   8. Samiuela Vea

   All 9 outcomes

   Tonga elections (1)

   1. Ongo Niua 17 By-Election

      'Aminiasi Tonga Pau'u Tangimana Winner

Wed 7 Oct

1. President of Kosovo?

   Justina Pula Winner

   

   Other outcomes in this event

   1. Bekim Sejdiu
   2. Glauk Konjufca
   3. Vjosa Osmani
   4. Lumir Abdixhiku
   5. Hatixhe Hoxha
   6. Ukë Rugova
   7. Veton Surroi
   8. Albulena Haxhiu
   9. Feride Rushiti
   10. Atifete Jahjaga
   11. Fatmire Mullhaxha-Kollçaku

   All 12 outcomes

Mon 5 Oct

1. CanadaQuebec General Election

   PQ Winner

   

   Result

   1. PQ 28.0%
   2. PLQ 24.2%
   3. PCQ 20.7%
   4. QS 12.4%
   5. CAQ 13.4%
   6. Green 0.3%
   7. Climat Québec 0.3%
   8. Canadian 0.2%
   9. Parti nul 0.2%
   10. Démocratie directe 0.1%
   11. Independent 0.1%
   12. Présence 0.1%
   13. Parti culinaire 0.0%
   14. Libertarian 0.0%
   15. Communist 0.0%
   16. Marxist–Leninist 0.0%
   17. Access, Property, and Equity Party 0.0%
   18. Bloc Pot 0.0%
   19. Équipe Autonomiste 0.0%
   20. Osons Québec 0.0%
   21. Québec innovant 0.0%

   All 6 outcomes · Source: Wikipedia

   Canada elections (1)

   1. Premier of Quebec

      Awaiting the official result

Not yet decided

1. Prime Minister of Sweden

   Magdalena Andersson 80%

   

   80% Magdalena Andersson

   ▲2 pts in 7 days

   Probability

   50%

   

   18% Ulf Kristersson

   0 pts in 7 days

   Probability

   50%

   All 10 outcomes

   Sweden elections (22)

   1. Which parties will be in the Swedish Government?

      Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) 81% 24h change: ▲6
   2. Regional Board Chair of Skåne?

      Carl Johan Sonesson 93%
   3. Regional Board Chair of Halland?

      Mikaela Waltersson 69% 24h change: ▲21
   4. Regional Board Chair of Gävleborg?

      Eva Lindberg 91%
   5. Regional Board Chair of Östergötland?

      Mattias Ottosson 76% 24h change: ▼1
   6. Regional Board Chair of Värmland?

      Åsa Johansson 95% 24h change: ▲2
   7. Regional Board Chair of Västerbotten?

      Peter Olofsson 95%
   8. Regional Board Chair of Blekinge?

      Lars Markus Hildingsson 99% 24h change: ▲2
   9. Regional Board Chair of Sörmland?

      Christoffer Öqvist 67%
   10. Regional Board Chair of Västra Götaland?

       My Alnebratt 98%
   11. More Sweden elections (12)
2. PeruLima Mayoral Election

   Rafael López Aliaga 93%

   

   Other outcomes in this event

   1. Francis James Allison Oyague 3%

   +21 below 1%

   All 23 outcomes

   Peru elections (7)

   1. Piura Mayoral Election

      Miguel Gerardo Cueva Celi 94% 24h change: ▼1
   2. Chiclayo Mayoral Election

      Elber Requejo Sánchez 99% 24h change: ▲1
   3. Trujillo Mayoral Election

      Roy Charlie Arbaiza Corcuera 99%
   4. Huancayo Mayoral Election

      Emerson Nolasco Delgado 96% 24h change: ▼4
   5. Cusco Mayoral Election

      Albert Aníbal Arenas Yábar 97% 24h change: ▲1
   6. Arequipa Mayoral Election

      Manuel Enrique Vera Paredes 98%
   7. Maynas Mayoral Election

      Roger Cristóbal Gronerth Pinedo 96%
3. PolandKraków Mayoral Election

   Łukasz Gibała 96%

   

   Other outcomes in this event

   1. Monika Piątkowska 3%

   +10 below 1%

   All 12 outcomes

4. GermanyWhich parties will be in the Sachsen-Anhalt state government?

   AfD 74% 24h change: ▲3

   

   74% AfD

   ▲21 pts in 7 days

   Probability

   50%

   

   31% CDU

   ▲15 pts in 7 days

   Probability

   50%

   All 7 outcomes

   Germany elections (3)

   1. Ministerpräsident of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?

      Manuela Schwesig 98%
   2. Which parties will be in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?

      Grüne 96% 24h change: ▲1
   3. Which parties will be in the Berlin state government?

      Grüne 93% 24h change: ▲1
5. FranceFrench Senate Election: 2nd Most Seats?

   Union Centriste 81%

   

   Other outcomes in this event

   1. SER 6%
   2. Les Républicains 1%

   All 3 outcomes

   France elections (1)

   1. French Senate Election: Most Seats?

      Les Républicains 99%
6. Prime Minister of the Cook Islands

   Mark Brown 98%

   

   Other outcomes in this event

   1. Tina Browne 2%

   +1 below 1%

   All 3 outcomes

7. United StatesTallahassee Mayoral Election

   Loranne Ausley 51%

   

   51% Loranne Ausley

   Probability

   50%

   

   48% Jeremy Matlow

   ▲3 pts in 7 days

   Probability

   50%

   All 5 outcomes

   United States elections (2)

   1. St. Petersburg Mayoral Election

      Charlie Crist 89% 24h change: ▲2
   2. 2026 North Las Vegas Mayoral Election

      Daniele Monroe-Moreno 81%
8. Prime Minister of Latvia?

   Andris Kulbergs 99%

   

   Other outcomes in this event

   +7 below 1%

   All 8 outcomes

9. Bosnia and Herzegovina Parliamentary Election

   SDA 98% 24h change: ▲2

   

   Other outcomes in this event

   1. HDZ BiH 2%
   2. DF 1%
   3. SDP BiH 1%

   +3 below 1%

   All 7 outcomes