Election TrackerHow it worksFor newsrooms
EN

Home › Canada

Premier of Quebec 2026

7 outcomes · Voting day: (2 days ago) · Use widget

Official results: Élections Québec

Awaiting the official result. Paul St-Pierre Plamondon, with a market-implied probability of >99%, ahead of Christine Fréchette at <1%.

OutcomeProbability24h change
Paul St-Pierre Plamondon>99%0 pts
Christine Fréchette<1%–
Charles Milliard<1%–
Éric Duhaime<1%–
Bernard Drainville<1%–
Ruba Ghazal<1%–
Sol Zanetti<1%0 pts
  1. Paul St-Pierre Plamondon >99%
100%50%0%

May 2026Jul 2026Oct 2026

Key questions

When is the vote?

Monday, October 5, 2026 (2 days ago).

Who is expected to win?

Paul St-Pierre Plamondon, with a market-implied probability of >99%, ahead of Christine Fréchette at <1%. Updated 2026-10-07 16:36 UTC.

What do these percentages mean?

The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.

Related races

  1. Quebec General Election Winner PQ Winner
Embed this widget

Paste this code into an article or page. The widget updates by itself: the market-implied probability before the vote, live on election night, then the official result.

Preview

More widgets and options for newsrooms →

Quote these figures

You are welcome to embed Election Tracker widgets and to quote individual figures, with credit and a link to electiontracker.eu. Copying the data in bulk (scraping, feeds, databases) or reselling it is not permitted. © Eastern Vikings OÜ.