Romania elections 2028: predictions

Sat 1 Jan 2028

1. Prime Minister of Romania?

   Luca Niculescu 60% 24h change: ▲10

   

   Other outcomes in this event

   1. Sorin Grindeanu 10%
   2. Alexandru Nazare 10%
   3. Alexandru Rogobete 2%
   4. Eugen Tomac 2%
   5. George Simion 2%
   6. Ilie Bolojan 2%
   7. Dan Motreanu 2%
   8. Șerban Matei 1%
   9. Leonardo Badea 1%
   10. Victor Ponta 1%
   11. Cătălin Predoiu 1%
   12. Radu Burnete 1%

   +25 below 1%

   All 38 outcomes

2. Party of the Prime Minister of Romania?

   Independent/Technocrat 82% 24h change: ▲13

   

   82% Independent/Technocrat

   ▲34 pts in 7 days

   Probability

   50%

   

   12% PSD

   ▼26 pts in 7 days

   Probability

   50%

   All 6 outcomes

3. Which coalition will form the Romanian government?

   PSD + PNL + UDMR 15% 24h change: ▼3

   

   Other outcomes in this event

   1. PSD + UDMR 13%
   2. PSD 13%
   3. Other 6%
   4. AUR 5%
   5. PNL + USR 4%
   6. UDMR 2%
   7. PSD + AUR 2%
   8. USR 1%

   All 9 outcomes

4. Which parties will be part of the government of Romania?

   PSD 69% 24h change: ▼12

   

   69% PSD

   ▲13 pts in 7 days

   Probability

   50%

   

   42% PNL

   ▲5 pts in 7 days

   Probability

   50%

   All 6 outcomes