Party of the Prime Minister of Romania?

Q: Who is expected to win?

Independent/Technocrat, with a market-implied probability of 82%, ahead of PSD at 12%. Updated 2026-10-07 13:52 UTC.

Q: What do these percentages mean?

The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.

6 outcomes · Closes Jan 1, 2028

82% chance Independent/Technocrat

▲35 pts in 7 days

Probability

50%

May 2026Oct 2026

12% chance PSD

▼26 pts in 7 days

Probability

50%

May 2026Oct 2026

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Outcome	Probability	24h change
Independent/Technocrat	82%	▲13 pts
PSD	12%	▼1 pt
AUR	3%	0 pts
PNL	2%	▼1 pt
USR	<1%	0 pts
UDMR	<1%	–

Independent/Technocrat 82%
PSD 12%

100%50%0%

May 2026Jul 2026Oct 2026

Key questions

Who is expected to win?

Independent/Technocrat, with a market-implied probability of 82%, ahead of PSD at 12%. Updated 2026-10-07 13:52 UTC.

What do these percentages mean?

The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.

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Paste this code into an article or page. The widget updates by itself: the market-implied probability before the vote, live on election night, then the official result.

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Party of the Prime Minister of Romania?

Key questions

Who is expected to win?

What do these percentages mean?

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