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Prime Minister of Romania?

38 outcomes · Closes

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OutcomeProbability24h change
Luca Niculescu60%▲10 pts
Sorin Grindeanu10%▼2 pts
Alexandru Nazare10%▼1 pt
Alexandru Rogobete2%▼1 pt
Eugen Tomac2%0 pts
George Simion2%0 pts
Ilie Bolojan2%–
Dan Motreanu2%▲1 pt
Șerban Matei1%▲1 pt
Leonardo Badea1%0 pts
Victor Ponta1%0 pts
Cătălin Predoiu1%0 pts
Radu Burnete1%0 pts
Delia Velculescu<1%–
Siegfried Mureșan<1%0 pts
Lucian Isar<1%–
Vasile Dîncu<1%–
Lucian Croitoru<1%–
Calin Georgescu<1%–
Dragoș Pîslaru<1%0 pts
Traian Basescu<1%–
Mircea Geoană<1%–
Sebastian Burduja<1%–
Dacian Cioloș<1%–
Emil Boc<1%–
Raluca Turcan<1%–
Nicolae Ciucă<1%–
Mugur Isărescu<1%–
Anca Dragu<1%–
Marcel Ciolacu<1%–
Alexandru Rafila<1%–
Ionuț Dumitru<1%–
Elena Lasconi<1%–
Cătălin Drulă<1%–
Dominic Fritz<1%–
Hunor Kelemen<1%–
Ciprian Ciucu<1%–
Adrian Veștea<1%–
  1. Luca Niculescu 60%
  2. Sorin Grindeanu 10%
  3. Alexandru Nazare 10%
100%50%0%

May 2026Jul 2026Oct 2026

Key questions

Who is expected to win?

Luca Niculescu, with a market-implied probability of 60%, ahead of Sorin Grindeanu at 10%. Updated 2026-10-07 13:46 UTC.

What do these percentages mean?

The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.

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