South Africa elections 2026: predictions
Mayor of Johannesburg?
Wednesday, November 4, 2026 · in 28 days

68% chance Helen Zille
▼1 pt in 7 days
Probability
50%

10% chance Frank Chikane
▼5 pts in 7 days
Probability
50%
Loyiso Masuku 7% · Herman Mashaba 3%
Helen Zille 68%

Other outcomes in this event
- Frank Chikane 10%
- Loyiso Masuku 7%
- Herman Mashaba 3%
- Dada Morero 1%
- Kenny Kunene 1%
+1 below 1%
Werner Pretorius 35% 24h change: ▼5

Xolani Khumalo 35% 24h change: ▲12

Other outcomes in this event
Retief Odendaal 46% 24h change: ▲9

Mkhuleko Hlengwa 32% 24h change: ▲3

Other outcomes in this event
+3 below 1%
Princess Faku 86% 24h change: ▼1

Cilliers Brink 62%

Other outcomes in this event
- Nasiphi Moya 19%
- Aaron Maluleka 6%
- Patience Moropa 6%
- Chana Pilane-Majake 6%
- Phumeza Mangcu 3%
- Tlangi Mogale 3%
- Kgoši Maepa 1%
+1 below 1%
Geordin Hill-Lewis 88%

Other outcomes in this event
- Khalid Sayed 5%
- Nontando Nolutshungu 3%
- Ernest Theron 1%
- Lwazi Pakade 1%
- Mareldia Chowglay 1%
- Roger Solomons 1%
- Zelda Tarntaal 1%
- Brett Herron 1%
- Cheslyn Steenberg 1%
+6 below 1%