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繁體中文Mayor of Nelson Mandela Bay (Port Elizabeth)?
9 outcomes · Voting day: (in 28 days)
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change |
|---|---|---|
| Retief Odendaal | 37% | ▼1 pt |
| Andile Lungisa | 22% | ▼9 pts |
| Babalwa Lobishe | 16% | 0 pts |
| Xolani Vela | 6% | ▲1 pt |
| Sinawo Thambo | 6% | – |
| Wandisile Jikeka | 4% | – |
| Siva Pillay | 2% | 0 pts |
| Ntombi Nama | <1% | – |
| Bulelwa Mafaya | <1% | 0 pts |
- Retief Odendaal 37%
- Andile Lungisa 22%
- Babalwa Lobishe 16%
100%50%0%
Aug 19Sep 12Oct 7
Key questions
When is the vote?
Wednesday, November 4, 2026 (in 28 days).
Who is expected to win?
Retief Odendaal, with a market-implied probability of 37%, ahead of Andile Lungisa at 22%. Updated 2026-10-07 14:38 UTC.
What do these percentages mean?
The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.