Home › South Africa

Mayor of Mangaung (Bloemfontein)?

10 outcomes · Voting day: Wed, Nov 4, 2026 (in 28 days)

35% chance to win Werner Pretorius

▼6 pts in 7 days

Probability

50%

Aug 19Oct 7

8% chance to win Gregory Nthatisi

▲1 pt in 7 days

Probability

50%

Aug 20Oct 7

Use widget

Outcome	Probability	24h change
Werner Pretorius	35%	▼4 pts
Lulaman Oditi-Titi	29%	▲22 pts
Bongani Mathae	8%	0 pts
Vusimuzi Soqaga	8%	▲1 pt
Gregory Nthatisi	8%	▲3 pts
Sekhopi Malebo	5%	0 pts
Motshewa Tladi	4%	–
Thabo Manyoni	4%	0 pts
Sam Matiase	4%	▼3 pts
Theodorah Mosala-Leeuw	2%	–

Werner Pretorius 35%

100%50%0%

Aug 19Sep 12Oct 7

Key questions

When is the vote?

Wednesday, November 4, 2026 (in 28 days).

Who is expected to win?

Werner Pretorius, with a market-implied probability of 35%, ahead of Lulaman Oditi-Titi at 29%. Updated 2026-10-07 13:52 UTC.

What do these percentages mean?

The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.

Embed this widget

Paste this code into an article or page. The widget updates by itself: the market-implied probability before the vote, live on election night, then the official result.

<iframe src="https://electiontracker.eu/embed/south-africa/mayor-of-mangaung-bloemfontein-2026" title="Mayor of Mangaung (Bloemfontein)?" width="100%" height="400" style="border:0;max-width:640px" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<script src="https://electiontracker.eu/embed.js" async></script>

Preview

More widgets and options for newsrooms →