Mayor of eThekwini (Durban)?
13 outcomes · Voting day: (in 28 days)
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change |
|---|---|---|
| Mkhuleko Hlengwa | 35% | ▲5 pts |
| Haniff Hoosen | 31% | ▲2 pts |
| Zandile Hlophe-Mkhwanazi | 15% | ▼1 pt |
| Thabani Nyawose | 14% | – |
| Philani Mavundla | 9% | ▼2 pts |
| Apostle Mxolisi Phakathi | 6% | 0 pts |
| Cyril Xaba | 2% | 0 pts |
| Zandile Gumede | 1% | – |
| Maggie Govender | 1% | – |
| Hlengiwe Mkhaliphi | <1% | – |
| Zwakele Mncwango | <1% | – |
| Mina Soma-Lesoma | <1% | 0 pts |
| Nomusa Dube-Ncube | <1% | 0 pts |
- Mkhuleko Hlengwa 35%
- Haniff Hoosen 31%
- Zandile Hlophe-Mkhwanazi 15%
100%50%0%
Aug 19Sep 12Oct 7
Key questions
When is the vote?
Wednesday, November 4, 2026 (in 28 days).
Who is expected to win?
Mkhuleko Hlengwa, with a market-implied probability of 35%, ahead of Haniff Hoosen at 31%. Updated 2026-10-07 13:52 UTC.
What do these percentages mean?
The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.

