Mayor of Tshwane (Pretoria)?
9 outcomes · Voting day: (in 28 days)
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change |
|---|---|---|
| Cilliers Brink | 62% | – |
| Nasiphi Moya | 19% | – |
| Aaron Maluleka | 6% | ▼1 pt |
| Patience Moropa | 6% | ▲2 pts |
| Chana Pilane-Majake | 6% | ▲2 pts |
| Phumeza Mangcu | 3% | ▲1 pt |
| Tlangi Mogale | 3% | 0 pts |
| Kgoši Maepa | 1% | 0 pts |
| Omphile Maotwe | <1% | 0 pts |
- Cilliers Brink 62%
- Nasiphi Moya 19%
- Aaron Maluleka 6%
100%50%0%
Aug 19Sep 12Oct 7
Key questions
When is the vote?
Wednesday, November 4, 2026 (in 28 days).
Who is expected to win?
Cilliers Brink, with a market-implied probability of 62%, ahead of Nasiphi Moya at 19%. Updated 2026-10-07 16:42 UTC.
What do these percentages mean?
The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.