Australia elections 2026: predictions

Tue 27 Oct

1. Huon Valley Mayoral Election

   Paul Gibson 31% 24h change: ▼15

   

   Other outcomes in this event

   1. Abby McKibben 30%
   2. Mark Jessop 20%
   3. Sally Doyle 1%
   4. Toby Thorpe 1%

   All 5 outcomes

2. Waratah–Wynyard Mayoral Election

   Chloe Foster 48% 24h change: ▼7

   

   Other outcomes in this event

   1. Dillon Roberts 22%
   2. Michael Johnstone 11%
   3. Leanne Raw 6%
   4. Kevin Hyland 1%
   5. Mary Duniam 1%

   All 6 outcomes

3. Clarence Mayoral Election

   Brendan Blomeley 62% 24h change: ▼5

   

   Other outcomes in this event

   1. Tony Mulder 16%
   2. Dean Young 6%
   3. Drew Jenner 4%

   +1 below 1%

   All 5 outcomes

4. Latrobe Mayoral Election

   Brett Whiteley 60% 24h change: ▲2

   

   Other outcomes in this event

   1. James Redgrave 14%
   2. Peter Freshney 1%

   All 3 outcomes

5. Hobart Lord Mayor Election

   John Kelly 41% 24h change: ▼2

   

   Other outcomes in this event

   1. Louise Bloomfield 14%
   2. Ryan Posselt 13%
   3. Bill Harvey 9%
   4. Marti Zucco 5%
   5. Mike Dutta 1%

   +1 below 1%

   All 7 outcomes

6. Northern Midlands Mayoral Election

   Andrew McCullagh 48% 24h change: ▼7

   

   Other outcomes in this event

   1. Angela Offord 19%
   2. Adam Barnett 13%
   3. Wendy Mitchell 11%
   4. Paul Terrett 6%
   5. Mary Knowles 1%

   All 6 outcomes

7. Launceston Mayoral Election

   Matthew Garwood 60% 24h change: ▲2

   

   Other outcomes in this event

   1. Kyle Barrett 20%
   2. Rose Diamond 4%
   3. Paul Mallett 2%
   4. Tim Walker 2%

   All 5 outcomes

8. Meander Valley Mayoral Election

   Stephanie Cameron 40% 24h change: ▼10

   

   Other outcomes in this event

   1. Ben Dudman 35%
   2. Wayne Johnston 1%

   All 3 outcomes

9. Central Coast Mayoral Election

   Cheryl Fuller 81% 24h change: ▼5

   

   Other outcomes in this event

   1. Garry Carpenter 9%

   All 2 outcomes

10. Burnie Mayoral Election

    Giovanna Simpson 43% 24h change: ▲8

    

    Other outcomes in this event

    1. Teeny Brumby 43%
    2. Geoffrey Summers 15%
    3. Chris Lynch 10%
    4. Ken Dorsey 2%

    All 5 outcomes

11. West Tamar Mayoral Election

    Rick Shegog 71% 24h change: ▲5

    

    Other outcomes in this event

    1. Carl Cooper 19%
    2. Caroline Larner 4%
    3. Christina Holmdahl 1%

    All 4 outcomes

12. Sorell Mayoral Election

    Janet Gatehouse 82% 24h change: ▼1

    

    82% Janet Gatehouse

    ▲11 pts in 7 days

    Probability

    50%

    

    15% Kristian Horvath

    ▼3 pts in 7 days

    Probability

    50%

    All 3 outcomes

13. Glenorchy Mayoral Election

    Sue Hickey 57% 24h change: ▼3

    

    Other outcomes in this event

    1. Russell Yaxley 23%
    2. Nathan Volf 5%

    All 3 outcomes

14. Devonport Mayoral Election

    Alison Jarman 54% 24h change: ▲4

    

    Other outcomes in this event

    1. Steve Martin 35%

    All 2 outcomes

15. Kingborough Mayoral Election

    Jo Westwood 56% 24h change: ▲5

    

    56% Jo Westwood

    ▲13 pts in 7 days

    Probability

    50%

    

    41% Aldo Antolli

    ▼11 pts in 7 days

    Probability

    50%

    All 5 outcomes

16. Derwent Valley Mayoral Election

    Casey Farrell 49% 24h change: ▲17

    

    49% Casey Farrell

    ▲27 pts in 7 days

    Probability

    50%

    

    45% Michelle Dracoulis

    ▼25 pts in 7 days

    Probability

    50%

    All 4 outcomes

17. Brighton Mayoral Election

    Leigh Gray 95%

    

    Other outcomes in this event

    1. Phil Owen 5%

    All 2 outcomes