Northern Midlands Mayoral Election Winner 2026
6 outcomes · Voting day: (in 20 days)
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew McCullagh | 38% | ▼17 pts |
| Angela Offord | 19% | 0 pts |
| Adam Barnett | 13% | 0 pts |
| Wendy Mitchell | 10% | ▲4 pts |
| Paul Terrett | 6% | – |
| Mary Knowles | 1% | 0 pts |
- Andrew McCullagh 38%
- Angela Offord 19%
- Adam Barnett 13%
100%50%0%
Sep 4Sep 20Oct 7
Key questions
When is the vote?
Tuesday, October 27, 2026 (in 20 days).
Who is expected to win?
Andrew McCullagh, with a market-implied probability of 38%, ahead of Angela Offord at 19%. Updated 2026-10-07 16:36 UTC.
What do these percentages mean?
The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.