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Huon Valley Mayoral Election Winner 2026

6 outcomes · Voting day: Tue, Oct 27, 2026 (in 20 days)

30% chance to win Abby McKibben

▼9 pts in 7 days

Probability

50%

Sep 11Oct 7

29% chance to win Paul Gibson

▲10 pts in 7 days

Probability

50%

Sep 12Oct 7

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Outcome	Probability	24h change
Abby McKibben	30%	▼1 pt
Paul Gibson	29%	▼14 pts
Mark Jessop	21%	▼8 pts
Marshall Callaghan	1%	–
Sally Doyle	1%	0 pts
Toby Thorpe	1%	0 pts

Abby McKibben 30%
Paul Gibson 29%
Mark Jessop 21%

100%50%0%

Sep 4Sep 20Oct 7

Key questions

When is the vote?

Tuesday, October 27, 2026 (in 20 days).

Who is expected to win?

Abby McKibben, with a market-implied probability of 30%, ahead of Paul Gibson at 29%. Updated 2026-10-07 14:33 UTC.

What do these percentages mean?

The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.

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Paste this code into an article or page. The widget updates by itself: the market-implied probability before the vote, live on election night, then the official result.

<iframe src="https://electiontracker.eu/embed/australia/huon-valley-mayoral-election-2026" title="Huon Valley Mayoral Election Winner" width="100%" height="400" style="border:0;max-width:640px" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<script src="https://electiontracker.eu/embed.js" async></script>

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