Tonga elections 2026: predictions

Thu 8 Oct

1. Tongatapu 2 By-Election

   Lei Paasi 40% 24h change: ▲14

   Other outcomes in this event

   1. 'Ilaisa Lepolo Taunisila 38%
   2. Alvin Lafu Sika 38%
   3. Malakai Matafonuafo'ou 'Ofa ki Wakawaka Koloamatangi 15%
   4. Sione Harvard Tupouniua 14%
   5. Mele Teusivi 'Amanaki 9%
   6. 'Olioni Manoa 8%
   7. Samiuela Vea 8%
   8. Mounu Uaisele 4%

   All 9 outcomes

2. Ongo Niua 17 By-Election

   'Aminiasi Tonga Pau'u Tangimana 37% 24h change: ▼2

   Other outcomes in this event

   1. Paea 'i Vaha Filimoehala 29%
   2. Sitiveni Selui 19%
   3. Sione Tuifio Hui 11%
   4. 'Aisake Hoatatau Finau 9%

   All 5 outcomes