Home › Tonga › Ongo Niua 17 By-Election Winner

Paea 'i Vaha Filimoehala: Ongo Niua 17 By-Election Winner 2026?

Q: Paea 'i Vaha Filimoehala: Ongo Niua 17 By-Election Winner 2026?

Market-implied probability: 32%, as of 2026-10-07 16:15 UTC. Source: public prediction-market data.

32%Probability

1h change: 0 pts
24h change: ▲8 pts
1w change: ▲8 pts
Voting day: Thu, Oct 8, 2026 (tomorrow)

Paea 'i Vaha Filimoehala 32%

100%50%0%

Sep 10Sep 23Oct 7

Other outcomes in this event

Outcome	Probability	24h change
'Aminiasi Tonga Pau'u Tangimana	37%	▼2 pts
Sitiveni Selui	19%	▲1 pt
Sione Tuifio Hui	11%	▲1 pt
'Aisake Hoatatau Finau	6%	▼25 pts

All 5 outcomes

Embed this widget

Paste this code into an article or page. The widget updates by itself: the market-implied probability before the vote, live on election night, then the official result.

<iframe src="https://electiontracker.eu/embed/tonga/ongo-niua-17-by-election-2026" title="Ongo Niua 17 By-Election Winner" width="100%" height="400" style="border:0;max-width:640px" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<script src="https://electiontracker.eu/embed.js" async></script>

Preview

More widgets and options for newsrooms →

Paea 'i Vaha Filimoehala: Ongo Niua 17 By-Election Winner 2026?

Other outcomes in this event

Related races