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'Aisake Hoatatau Finau: Ongo Niua 17 By-Election Winner 2026?

Q: 'Aisake Hoatatau Finau: Ongo Niua 17 By-Election Winner 2026?

Market-implied probability: 6%, as of 2026-10-07 17:15 UTC. Source: public prediction-market data.

6%Probability

1h change: –
24h change: ▼12 pts
1w change: ▼8 pts
Voting day: Thu, Oct 8, 2026 (tomorrow)

'Aisake Hoatatau Finau 6%

100%50%0%

Sep 10Sep 23Oct 7

Other outcomes in this event

Outcome	Probability	24h change
'Aminiasi Tonga Pau'u Tangimana	37%	▼2 pts
Paea 'i Vaha Filimoehala	32%	▲1 pt
Sitiveni Selui	19%	▲6 pts
Sione Tuifio Hui	11%	▲1 pt

All 5 outcomes

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<iframe src="https://electiontracker.eu/embed/tonga/ongo-niua-17-by-election-2026" title="Ongo Niua 17 By-Election Winner" width="100%" height="400" style="border:0;max-width:640px" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<script src="https://electiontracker.eu/embed.js" async></script>

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'Aisake Hoatatau Finau: Ongo Niua 17 By-Election Winner 2026?

Other outcomes in this event

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