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Glenorchy Mayoral Election Winner 2026

3 outcomes · Voting day: (in 20 days)

60% chance to win Sue Hickey

▲11 pts in 7 days

Probability

50%
Sep 5Oct 7

23% chance to win Russell Yaxley

▼17 pts in 7 days

Probability

50%
Sep 4Oct 7

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OutcomeProbability24h change
Sue Hickey60%▼4 pts
Russell Yaxley23%▼1 pt
Nathan Volf5%0 pts
  1. Sue Hickey 60%
  2. Russell Yaxley 23%
100%50%0%

Sep 4Sep 20Oct 7

Key questions

When is the vote?

Tuesday, October 27, 2026 (in 20 days).

Who is expected to win?

Sue Hickey, with a market-implied probability of 60%, ahead of Russell Yaxley at 23%. Updated 2026-10-07 15:35 UTC.

What do these percentages mean?

The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.

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