Derwent Valley Mayoral Election Winner 2026
4 outcomes · Voting day: (in 20 days)
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change |
|---|---|---|
| Casey Farrell | 48% | ▲20 pts |
| Michelle Dracoulis | 45% | – |
| James Randall | 4% | ▼19 pts |
| Jess Burns | <1% | – |
- Casey Farrell 48%
- Michelle Dracoulis 45%
100%50%0%
Sep 4Sep 20Oct 7
Key questions
When is the vote?
Tuesday, October 27, 2026 (in 20 days).
Who is expected to win?
Casey Farrell, with a market-implied probability of 48%, ahead of Michelle Dracoulis at 45%. Updated 2026-10-07 15:35 UTC.
What do these percentages mean?
The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.