Central Coast Mayoral Election Winner 2026
2 outcomes · Voting day: (in 20 days)
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change |
|---|---|---|
| Cheryl Fuller | 80% | ▼2 pts |
| Garry Carpenter | 7% | 0 pts |
- Cheryl Fuller 80%
- Garry Carpenter 7%
100%50%0%
Sep 4Sep 20Oct 7
Key questions
When is the vote?
Tuesday, October 27, 2026 (in 20 days).
Who is expected to win?
Cheryl Fuller, with a market-implied probability of 80%, ahead of Garry Carpenter at 7%. Updated 2026-10-07 14:33 UTC.
What do these percentages mean?
The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.

