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Burnie Mayoral Election Winner 2026

5 outcomes · Voting day: (in 20 days)

44% chance to win Giovanna Simpson

▲6 pts in 7 days

Probability

50%
Sep 5Oct 7

42% chance to win Teeny Brumby

▼1 pt in 7 days

Probability

50%
Sep 5Oct 7

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OutcomeProbability24h change
Giovanna Simpson44%▲9 pts
Teeny Brumby42%▼1 pt
Geoffrey Summers9%▼1 pt
Chris Lynch9%–
Ken Dorsey2%0 pts
  1. Giovanna Simpson 44%
  2. Teeny Brumby 42%
  3. Geoffrey Summers 9%
100%50%0%

Sep 4Sep 20Oct 7

Key questions

When is the vote?

Tuesday, October 27, 2026 (in 20 days).

Who is expected to win?

Giovanna Simpson, with a market-implied probability of 44%, ahead of Teeny Brumby at 42%. Updated 2026-10-07 15:35 UTC.

What do these percentages mean?

The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.

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