Victoria Parliamentary Election Winner 2026
4 outcomes · Closes · Use widget
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change |
|---|---|---|
| Liberal–National | 70% | ▲1 pt |
| Labor | 23% | ▲3 pts |
| One Nation | 10% | ▼2 pts |
| Greens | <1% | – |
Key questions
Who is expected to win?
Liberal–National, with a market-implied probability of 70%, ahead of Labor at 23%. Updated 2026-10-07 16:42 UTC.
What do these percentages mean?
The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.