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West Tamar Mayoral Election Winner 2026

4 outcomes · Voting day: (in 20 days)

71% chance to win Rick Shegog

▲3 pts in 7 days

Probability

50%
Sep 5Oct 7

19% chance to win Carl Cooper

▼2 pts in 7 days

Probability

50%
Sep 4Oct 7

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OutcomeProbability24h change
Rick Shegog71%▲3 pts
Carl Cooper19%▲3 pts
Caroline Larner4%0 pts
Christina Holmdahl1%–
  1. Rick Shegog 71%
  2. Carl Cooper 19%
100%50%0%

Sep 4Sep 20Oct 7

Key questions

When is the vote?

Tuesday, October 27, 2026 (in 20 days).

Who is expected to win?

Rick Shegog, with a market-implied probability of 71%, ahead of Carl Cooper at 19%. Updated 2026-10-07 18:45 UTC.

What do these percentages mean?

The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.

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