Sorell Mayoral Election Winner 2026
3 outcomes · Voting day: (in 20 days)
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change |
|---|---|---|
| Janet Gatehouse | 82% | ▼1 pt |
| Kristian Horvath | 16% | – |
| Marisol Miro Quesada Le Roux | 2% | – |
- Janet Gatehouse 82%
- Kristian Horvath 16%
100%50%0%
Sep 4Sep 20Oct 7
Key questions
When is the vote?
Tuesday, October 27, 2026 (in 20 days).
Who is expected to win?
Janet Gatehouse, with a market-implied probability of 82%, ahead of Kristian Horvath at 16%. Updated 2026-10-07 15:30 UTC.
What do these percentages mean?
The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.