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Mayor of Buffalo City (East London)?

8 outcomes · Voting day: Wed, Nov 4, 2026 (in 28 days)

87% chance to win Princess Faku

▲9 pts in 7 days

Probability

50%

Aug 19Oct 7

9% chance to win Ncedo Kumbaca

▼7 pts in 7 days

Probability

50%

Aug 20Oct 7

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Outcome	Probability	24h change
Princess Faku	87%	–
Ncedo Kumbaca	9%	–
Simphiwe Dzengwa	3%	–
Yomelela Tyali	3%	▼1 pt
Nqabayomzi Kwankwa	2%	0 pts
Nocawe Mafu	1%	–
Mkhululi Dlevu	1%	–
Bongiwe Sauli	1%	–

Princess Faku 87%
Ncedo Kumbaca 9%

100%50%0%

Aug 19Sep 12Oct 7

Key questions

When is the vote?

Wednesday, November 4, 2026 (in 28 days).

Who is expected to win?

Princess Faku, with a market-implied probability of 87%, ahead of Ncedo Kumbaca at 9%. Updated 2026-10-07 14:38 UTC.

What do these percentages mean?

The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.

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Paste this code into an article or page. The widget updates by itself: the market-implied probability before the vote, live on election night, then the official result.

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<script src="https://electiontracker.eu/embed.js" async></script>

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