Mayor of Johannesburg?

Q: When is the vote?

Wednesday, November 4, 2026 (in 28 days).

Q: Who is expected to win?

Helen Zille, with a market-implied probability of 68%, ahead of Frank Chikane at 11%. Updated 2026-10-07 13:52 UTC.

Q: What do these percentages mean?

The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.

8 outcomes · Voting day: Wed, Nov 4, 2026 (in 28 days)

68% chance to win Helen Zille

▼1 pt in 7 days

Probability

50%

Jun 2026Oct 2026

11% chance to win Frank Chikane

▼4 pts in 7 days

Probability

50%

Jun 2026Oct 2026

Use widget

Outcome	Probability	24h change
Helen Zille	68%	–
Frank Chikane	11%	▼3 pts
Loyiso Masuku	7%	0 pts
Lukhona Mnguni	6%	▲1 pt
Herman Mashaba	3%	0 pts
Kenny Kunene	1%	0 pts
Dada Morero	1%	▼1 pt
David Makhura	<1%	–

Helen Zille 68%
Frank Chikane 11%
Loyiso Masuku 7%

100%50%0%

Jun 2026Aug 2026Oct 2026

Key questions

When is the vote?

Wednesday, November 4, 2026 (in 28 days).

Who is expected to win?

Helen Zille, with a market-implied probability of 68%, ahead of Frank Chikane at 11%. Updated 2026-10-07 13:52 UTC.

What do these percentages mean?

The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.

Embed this widget

Paste this code into an article or page. The widget updates by itself: the market-implied probability before the vote, live on election night, then the official result.

<iframe src="https://electiontracker.eu/embed/south-africa/mayor-of-johannesburg-2026" title="Mayor of Johannesburg?" width="100%" height="400" style="border:0;max-width:640px" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<script src="https://electiontracker.eu/embed.js" async></script>

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