Mayor of Cape Town?
16 outcomes · Voting day: (in 28 days)
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change |
|---|---|---|
| Geordin Hill-Lewis | 88% | ▲1 pt |
| Khalid Sayed | 5% | 0 pts |
| Nontando Nolutshungu | 3% | 0 pts |
| Roger Solomons | 1% | 0 pts |
| Mareldia Chowglay | 1% | – |
| Lwazi Pakade | 1% | – |
| Zelda Tarntaal | 1% | – |
| Ernest Theron | 1% | – |
| Brett Herron | 1% | – |
| Cheslyn Steenberg | 1% | 0 pts |
| Dereleen James | <1% | – |
| Ellen Pakkies | <1% | 0 pts |
| Jeremiah Thuynsma | <1% | – |
| Ndithini Tyhido | <1% | – |
| Luvuyo Zondani | <1% | – |
| Fiona Abrahams | <1% | – |
- Geordin Hill-Lewis 88%
100%50%0%
Aug 19Sep 12Oct 7
Key questions
When is the vote?
Wednesday, November 4, 2026 (in 28 days).
Who is expected to win?
Geordin Hill-Lewis, with a market-implied probability of 88%, ahead of Khalid Sayed at 5%. Updated 2026-10-07 17:41 UTC.
What do these percentages mean?
The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.