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AUR: Which coalition will form the Romanian government?

Q: AUR: Which coalition will form the Romanian government?

Market-implied probability: 5%, as of 2026-10-07 15:35 UTC. Source: public prediction-market data.

5%Probability

1h change: –
24h change: 0 pts
1w change: ▼6 pts
Closes: Jan 1, 2028

AUR 5%

100%50%0%

May 2026Jul 2026Oct 2026

Other outcomes in this event

Outcome	Probability	24h change
PSD + PNL + UDMR	15%	▼4 pts
PSD + UDMR	13%	▲1 pt
PSD	12%	▲7 pts
Other	6%	0 pts
PSD + PNL	5%	0 pts
PSD + PNL + USR	5%	0 pts
PSD + USR + UDMR	5%	0 pts
PNL + USR	4%	▼11 pts
PNL	4%	0 pts
PSD + PNL + USR + UDMR + AUR	4%	–
PSD + PNL + AUR	4%	0 pts
PNL + USR + UDMR	3%	▼1 pt

All 32 outcomes

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AUR: Which coalition will form the Romanian government?

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