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Other: Which coalition will form the Romanian government?

Q: Other: Which coalition will form the Romanian government?

Market-implied probability: 4%, as of 2026-10-07 16:42 UTC. Source: public prediction-market data.

4%Probability

1h change: ▼2 pts
24h change: ▼1 pt
1w change: ▼9 pts
Closes: Jan 1, 2028

Other 4%

100%50%0%

May 2026Jul 2026Oct 2026

Other outcomes in this event

Outcome	Probability	24h change
PSD + PNL + UDMR	15%	▼4 pts
PSD + UDMR	13%	▲1 pt
PSD	12%	▲6 pts
PSD + PNL	5%	0 pts
AUR	5%	0 pts
PSD + PNL + USR	5%	0 pts
PSD + USR + UDMR	4%	0 pts
PNL + USR	4%	0 pts
PSD + PNL + USR + UDMR + AUR	4%	–
PNL	4%	0 pts
PSD + PNL + AUR	4%	0 pts
PNL + USR + UDMR	3%	▼1 pt

All 32 outcomes

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Other: Which coalition will form the Romanian government?

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