Čeština
Deutsch
Ελληνικά
Español
Français
Italiano
Nederlands
Polski
Português (Portugal)
Română
УкраїнськаKraków Mayoral Election Winner 2026
17 outcomes · Voting day: (10 days ago)
Awaiting the official result. Łukasz Gibała, with a market-implied probability of 96%, ahead of Monika Piątkowska at 3%.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change |
|---|---|---|
| Łukasz Gibała | 96% | ▲2 pts |
| Monika Piątkowska | 3% | ▼1 pt |
| Daria Gosek-Popiołek | <1% | – |
| Michał Drewnicki | <1% | – |
| Bartosz Bocheńczak | <1% | – |
| Michał Klimek | <1% | – |
| Aleksandra Owca | <1% | – |
| Jan Hoffman | <1% | – |
| Marian Banaś | <1% | 0 pts |
| Rafał Komarewicz | <1% | – |
| Paweł Śliz | <1% | 0 pts |
| Rafał Sonik | <1% | 0 pts |
| Sławomir Pietrzyk | <1% | 0 pts |
| Grażyna Zofia Świat | <1% | – |
| Łukasz Wantuch | <1% | – |
| Marta Ratuszyńska | <1% | – |
| Marianna Schreiber | <1% | 0 pts |
- Łukasz Gibała 96%
100%50%0%
Aug 8Sep 7Oct 7
Key questions
When is the vote?
Sunday, September 27, 2026 (10 days ago).
Who is expected to win?
Łukasz Gibała, with a market-implied probability of 96%, ahead of Monika Piątkowska at 3%. Updated 2026-10-07 15:35 UTC.
What do these percentages mean?
The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.