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Łukasz Gibała: Kraków Mayoral Election Winner 2026?

Q: Łukasz Gibała: Kraków Mayoral Election Winner 2026?

Market-implied probability: 96%, as of 2026-10-07 16:15 UTC. Source: public prediction-market data.

96%Probability

1h change: 0 pts
24h change: 0 pts
1w change: ▲6 pts
Voting day: Sun, Sep 27, 2026 (10 days ago)

Łukasz Gibała 96%

100%50%0%

Aug 8Sep 7Oct 7

Other outcomes in this event

Outcome	Probability	24h change
Monika Piątkowska	3%	▼1 pt
Daria Gosek-Popiołek	<1%	0 pts
Michał Drewnicki	<1%	–
Bartosz Bocheńczak	<1%	–
Michał Klimek	<1%	–
Aleksandra Owca	<1%	–
Jan Hoffman	<1%	–
Marian Banaś	<1%	0 pts
Rafał Komarewicz	<1%	–
Paweł Śliz	<1%	0 pts
Rafał Sonik	<1%	0 pts
Sławomir Pietrzyk	<1%	0 pts

All 17 outcomes

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<iframe src="https://electiontracker.eu/embed/poland/krakow-mayoral-election-2026" title="Kraków Mayoral Election Winner" width="100%" height="400" style="border:0;max-width:640px" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<script src="https://electiontracker.eu/embed.js" async></script>

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