Ministerpräsident of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?
7 outcomes · Voting day: (17 days ago) · Use widget
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change |
|---|---|---|
| Manuela Schwesig | 98% | 0 pts |
| Leif-Erik Holm | 2% | – |
| Daniel Peters | 1% | – |
| Enrico Schult | 1% | – |
| Jakob Schirmer | 1% | – |
| Simone Oldenburg | <1% | – |
| Claudia Müller | <1% | – |
- Manuela Schwesig 98%
100%50%0%
Sep 13Sep 25Oct 7
Key questions
When is the vote?
Sunday, September 20, 2026 (17 days ago).
Who is expected to win?
Manuela Schwesig, with a market-implied probability of 98%, ahead of Leif-Erik Holm at 2%. Updated 2026-10-07 14:33 UTC.
What do these percentages mean?
The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.