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2026 North Las Vegas Mayoral Election Winner

2 outcomes · Closes

Awaiting the official result. Daniele Monroe-Moreno, with a market-implied probability of 81%, ahead of Scott Black at 18%.

81% chance to win Daniele Monroe-Moreno

▲7 pts in 7 days

Probability

50%
Jun 2026Oct 2026

18% chance to win Scott Black

▼7 pts in 7 days

Probability

50%
Jun 2026Oct 2026

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OutcomeProbability24h change
Daniele Monroe-Moreno81%–
Scott Black18%▼1 pt
  1. Daniele Monroe-Moreno 81%
  2. Scott Black 18%
100%50%0%

Jun 2026Aug 2026Oct 2026

Key questions

Who is expected to win?

Daniele Monroe-Moreno, with a market-implied probability of 81%, ahead of Scott Black at 18%. Updated 2026-10-07 16:42 UTC.

What do these percentages mean?

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