Election TrackerHow it worksFor newsrooms

Home › Cook Islands

Prime Minister of the Cook Islands 2026

3 outcomes · Voting day: (56 days ago)

Awaiting the official result. Mark Brown, with a market-implied probability of 97%, ahead of Tina Browne at 2%.

97% chance Mark Brown

▲1 pt in 7 days

Probability

50%
Jul 17Oct 7

2% chance Tina Browne

▼1 pt in 7 days

Probability

50%
Jul 18Oct 7

Use widget

OutcomeProbability24h change
Mark Brown97%0 pts
Tina Browne2%0 pts
Teariki Heather1%0 pts
  1. Mark Brown 97%
100%50%0%

Jul 17Aug 27Oct 7

Key questions

When is the vote?

Wednesday, August 12, 2026 (56 days ago).

Who is expected to win?

Mark Brown, with a market-implied probability of 97%, ahead of Tina Browne at 2%. Updated 2026-10-07 17:36 UTC.

What do these percentages mean?

The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.

Embed this widget

Paste this code into an article or page. The widget updates by itself: the market-implied probability before the vote, live on election night, then the official result.

Preview

More widgets and options for newsrooms →

Quote these figures

You are welcome to embed Election Tracker widgets and to quote individual figures, with credit and a link to electiontracker.eu. Copying the data in bulk (scraping, feeds, databases) or reselling it is not permitted. © Eastern Vikings OÜ.