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St. Petersburg Mayoral Election Winner 2026

7 outcomes · Voting day: (50 days ago)

Awaiting the official result. Charlie Crist, with a market-implied probability of 88%, ahead of Ken Welch at 13%.

88% chance to win Charlie Crist

▲1 pt in 7 days

Probability

50%
Jun 2026Oct 2026

13% chance to win Ken Welch

▲2 pts in 7 days

Probability

50%
Jun 2026Oct 2026

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OutcomeProbability24h change
Charlie Crist88%▲1 pt
Ken Welch13%▲1 pt
Kevin Batdorf Resolved0%–
Paul Congemi Resolved0%–
Brandi Gabbard Resolved0%–
Jim Large Resolved0%–
Maria Scruggs Resolved0%–
  1. Charlie Crist 88%
  2. Ken Welch 13%
100%50%0%

Jun 2026Aug 2026Oct 2026

Key questions

When is the vote?

Tuesday, August 18, 2026 (50 days ago).

Who is expected to win?

Charlie Crist, with a market-implied probability of 88%, ahead of Ken Welch at 13%. Updated 2026-10-07 17:47 UTC.

What do these percentages mean?

The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.

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