Election TrackerHow it worksFor newsrooms
EN

Home › United States

Tallahassee Mayoral Election Winner 2026

5 outcomes · Voting day: (50 days ago)

Awaiting the official result. Loranne Ausley, with a market-implied probability of 51%, ahead of Jeremy Matlow at 47%.

51% chance to win Loranne Ausley

Probability

50%
Jun 2026Oct 2026

47% chance to win Jeremy Matlow

▲2 pts in 7 days

Probability

50%
Jun 2026Oct 2026

Use widget

OutcomeProbability24h change
Loranne Ausley51%▲1 pt
Jeremy Matlow47%0 pts
Daryl Parks3%0 pts
Al Lawson<1%–
Michael Foust<1%–
  1. Loranne Ausley 51%
  2. Jeremy Matlow 48%
100%50%0%

Jun 2026Aug 2026Oct 2026

Key questions

When is the vote?

Tuesday, August 18, 2026 (50 days ago).

Who is expected to win?

Loranne Ausley, with a market-implied probability of 51%, ahead of Jeremy Matlow at 47%. Updated 2026-10-07 15:35 UTC.

What do these percentages mean?

The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.

Related races

  1. St. Petersburg Mayoral Election Winner Charlie Crist 88%
Embed this widget

Paste this code into an article or page. The widget updates by itself: the market-implied probability before the vote, live on election night, then the official result.

Preview

More widgets and options for newsrooms →

Quote these figures

You are welcome to embed Election Tracker widgets and to quote individual figures, with credit and a link to electiontracker.eu. Copying the data in bulk (scraping, feeds, databases) or reselling it is not permitted. © Eastern Vikings OÜ.