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French Senate Election: Most Seats?

3 outcomes · Closes

99% chance Les Républicains

0 pts in 7 days

Probability

50%
Aug 20Oct 7

2% chance Union Centriste

0 pts in 7 days

Probability

50%
Aug 21Oct 7

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OutcomeProbability24h change
Les Républicains99%–
Union Centriste2%–
SER1%–
  1. Les Républicains 99%
100%50%0%

Aug 20Sep 13Oct 7

Key questions

Who is expected to win?

Les Républicains, with a market-implied probability of 99%, ahead of Union Centriste at 2%. Updated 2026-10-07 15:35 UTC.

What do these percentages mean?

The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.

Related races

  1. French Senate Election: 2nd Most Seats? Union Centriste 82%
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