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Regional Board Chair of Värmland?

9 outcomes · Voting day: (24 days ago)

93% chance Åsa Johansson

▲7 pts in 7 days

Probability

50%
Aug 12Oct 7

4% chance Sara Gunnarsson

▼1 pt in 7 days

Probability

50%
Aug 13Oct 7

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OutcomeProbability24h change
Åsa Johansson93%▲2 pts
Sara Gunnarsson4%0 pts
Fredrik Larsson4%0 pts
Tobias Eriksson2%0 pts
Mikael Strandman2%0 pts
Elisabeth Björk1%–
Erik Evestam<1%0 pts
Marianne Utterdahl<1%–
Sara Hallin<1%–
  1. Åsa Johansson 93%
100%50%0%

Aug 12Sep 9Oct 7

Key questions

When is the vote?

Sunday, September 13, 2026 (24 days ago).

Who is expected to win?

Åsa Johansson, with a market-implied probability of 93%, ahead of Sara Gunnarsson at 4%. Updated 2026-10-07 17:47 UTC.

What do these percentages mean?

The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.

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  6. Regional Board Chair of Östergötland? Mattias Ottosson 77%
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