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УкраїнськаPrime Minister of Sweden 2026
10 outcomes · Voting day: (24 days ago)
Awaiting the official result. Magdalena Andersson, with a market-implied probability of 80%, ahead of Ulf Kristersson at 17%.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change |
|---|---|---|
| Magdalena Andersson | 80% | – |
| Ulf Kristersson | 17% | ▼1 pt |
| Ebba Busch | 3% | 0 pts |
| Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist | 1% | – |
| Jimmie Åkesson | <1% | – |
| Simona Mohamsson | <1% | – |
| Amanda Lind | <1% | – |
| Anna-Karin Hatt | <1% | – |
| Nooshi Dadgostar | <1% | – |
| Daniel Helldén | <1% | – |
- Magdalena Andersson 80%
- Ulf Kristersson 17%
100%50%0%
Jan 2026May 2026Oct 2026
Key questions
When is the vote?
Sunday, September 13, 2026 (24 days ago).
Who is expected to win?
Magdalena Andersson, with a market-implied probability of 80%, ahead of Ulf Kristersson at 17%. Updated 2026-10-07 17:36 UTC.
What do these percentages mean?
The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.