Lima Mayoral Election Winner 2026
23 outcomes · Voting day: (3 days ago) · Use widget
Preliminary result
| # | Outcome | Vote share |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rafael López Aliaga | 27.7% |
| 2 | Avanza País (Francis Allison) | 26.8% |
| 3 | Somos Perú | 15.1% |
| 4 | Podemos Perú | 8.0% |
| 5 | Alianza para el Progreso | 4.3% |
| 6 | Ahora Nación | 3.6% |
| 7 | Fuerza Popular | 2.6% |
Key questions
When is the vote?
Sunday, October 4, 2026 (3 days ago).
Who is expected to win?
Rafael López Aliaga, with a market-implied probability of 93%, ahead of Francis James Allison Oyague at 2%. Updated 2026-10-07 13:46 UTC.
What do these percentages mean?
The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.