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Piura Mayoral Election Winner 2026

15 outcomes · Voting day: (3 days ago) · Use widget

Awaiting the official result. Miguel Gerardo Cueva Celi, with a market-implied probability of 95%, ahead of Walther Guerrero Silva at 2%.

OutcomeProbability24h change
Miguel Gerardo Cueva Celi95%▲1 pt
Walther Guerrero Silva2%▲2 pts
Kelly Ann Stefany Morillas Bogado2%0 pts
Carlos Eduardo Cruz Michilot2%▼1 pt
Mercedes Paola Maza Valencia1%–
Javier Fernando Miguel Atkins Lerggios1%▲1 pt
Jorge Hilton Flores Bazán1%▼5 pts
Martín Gerardo Olivares Chanduví1%▼1 pt
John Alexander Do Santos Ocmin1%0 pts
Ricardo Eliseo Paulini Palacios1%▼1 pt
Segundo Buenaventura Chávez Albirena1%0 pts
José Luis Morey Requejo<1%▼1 pt
Paul Anthony Lizama Quinde<1%–
Alberto Alonso Ordinola Niño<1%0 pts
Guillermo Chávez Timoteo<1%–
  1. Miguel Gerardo Cueva Celi 95%
100%50%0%

Aug 13Sep 9Oct 7

Key questions

When is the vote?

Sunday, October 4, 2026 (3 days ago).

Who is expected to win?

Miguel Gerardo Cueva Celi, with a market-implied probability of 95%, ahead of Walther Guerrero Silva at 2%. Updated 2026-10-07 16:36 UTC.

What do these percentages mean?

The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.

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