Which parties will be in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?
8 outcomes · Voting day: (17 days ago) · Use widget
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change |
|---|---|---|
| Grüne | 95% | 0 pts |
| SPD | 94% | ▼1 pt |
| Linke | 85% | ▼4 pts |
| CDU | 10% | ▲8 pts |
| AfD | 6% | 0 pts |
| BSW | 4% | 0 pts |
| FW | 2% | ▼1 pt |
| FDP | 2% | ▲1 pt |
Key questions
When is the vote?
Sunday, September 20, 2026 (17 days ago).
Who is expected to win?
Grüne, with a market-implied probability of 95%, ahead of SPD at 94%. Updated 2026-10-07 14:33 UTC.
What do these percentages mean?
The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.