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Bosnia and Herzegovina Parliamentary Election Winner 2026

7 outcomes · Voting day: (3 days ago) · Use widget

Official results: Centralna izborna komisija BiH

Awaiting the official result. SDA, with a market-implied probability of 97%, ahead of HDZ BiH at 3%.

OutcomeProbability24h change
SDA97%▼2 pts
HDZ BiH3%▲1 pt
SNSD2%▲1 pt
DF1%▲1 pt
SDS<1%▼1 pt
NiP<1%0 pts
SDP BiH<1%–
  1. SDA 97%
100%50%0%

Sep 10Sep 23Oct 7

Key questions

When is the vote?

Sunday, October 4, 2026 (3 days ago).

Who is expected to win?

SDA, with a market-implied probability of 97%, ahead of HDZ BiH at 3%. Updated 2026-10-07 16:42 UTC.

What do these percentages mean?

The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.

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