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Prime Minister of Latvia?

8 outcomes · Voting day: (4 days ago)

Official results: CVK

99% chance Andris Kulbergs

▲3 pts in 7 days

Probability

50%
Sep 13Oct 7

1% chance Viktors Valainis

▼1 pt in 7 days

Probability

50%
Sep 12Oct 7

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OutcomeProbability24h change
Andris Kulbergs99%0 pts
Viktors Valainis1%▲1 pt
Jūlija Stepaņenko<1%–
Svetlana Čulkova<1%–
Ainārs Šlesers<1%0 pts
Ilze Indriksone<1%–
Andris Šuvajevs<1%0 pts
Arvils Ašeradens<1%0 pts
  1. Andris Kulbergs 99%
100%50%0%

Sep 12Sep 24Oct 7

Key questions

When is the vote?

Saturday, October 3, 2026 (4 days ago).

Who is expected to win?

Andris Kulbergs, with a market-implied probability of 99%, ahead of Viktors Valainis at 1%. Updated 2026-10-07 15:30 UTC.

What do these percentages mean?

The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.

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