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Which parties will be in the Sachsen-Anhalt state government?

7 outcomes · Voting day: Sun, Sep 6, 2026 (31 days ago)

72% chance AfD

▲17 pts in 7 days

Probability

50%

Aug 21Oct 7

13% chance BSW

▼3 pts in 7 days

Probability

50%

Aug 21Oct 7

Use widget

Outcome	Probability	24h change
AfD	72%	▲17 pts
BSW	13%	0 pts
Linke	8%	▲1 pt
SPD	8%	▼1 pt
CDU	8%	▼6 pts
Grüne	5%	▼23 pts
FDP	4%	0 pts

AfD 72%
BSW 13%
Linke 8%

100%50%0%

Aug 21Sep 13Oct 7

Key questions

When is the vote?

Sunday, September 6, 2026 (31 days ago).

Who is expected to win?

AfD, with a market-implied probability of 72%, ahead of BSW at 13%. Updated 2026-10-07 16:42 UTC.

What do these percentages mean?

The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.

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Which parties will be in the Sachsen-Anhalt state government 2026: AfD, with a market-implied probability of 72%, ahead of BSW at 13%. Source: electiontracker.eu, October 7, 2026