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繁體中文Presidential Election Winner 2028
54 outcomes · Voting day: (in 762 days)
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change |
|---|---|---|
| JD Vance | 20% | 0 pts |
| Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | 13% | ▼2 pts |
| Jon Ossoff | 10% | – |
| Gavin Newsom | 8% | – |
| Marco Rubio | 6% | ▼3 pts |
| Kamala Harris | 4% | 0 pts |
| Josh Shapiro | 3% | – |
| Pete Buttigieg | 3% | – |
| Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson | 2% | 0 pts |
| Tucker Carlson | 2% | – |
| Ron DeSantis | 2% | – |
| Andy Beshear | 2% | 0 pts |
| Mark Kelly | 1% | – |
| James Talarico | 1% | 0 pts |
| Donald Trump | 1% | 0 pts |
| Thomas Massie | 1% | – |
| Wes Moore | 1% | 0 pts |
| Ro Khanna | 1% | – |
| Rahm Emanuel | 1% | – |
| JB Pritzker | 1% | – |
| Ted Cruz | 1% | – |
| Donald Trump Jr. | <1% | – |
| Ivanka Trump | <1% | – |
| Jamie Dimon | <1% | – |
| Gretchen Whitmer | <1% | – |
| Raphael Warnock | <1% | – |
| Tulsi Gabbard | <1% | – |
| Elon Musk | <1% | – |
| Michelle Obama | <1% | – |
| Glenn Youngkin | <1% | – |
| Greg Abbott | <1% | – |
| Stephen Smith | <1% | – |
| Tim Walz | <1% | – |
| Eric Trump | <1% | – |
| Nikki Haley | <1% | – |
| LeBron James | <1% | – |
| Zohran Mamdani | <1% | – |
| Tom Cotton | <1% | – |
| Vivek Ramaswamy | <1% | – |
| Kim Kardashian | <1% | – |
| Elissa Slotkin | <1% | – |
| Pete Hegseth | <1% | – |
| Jalen Brunson | <1% | – |
| Abigail Spanberger | <1% | – |
| Hakeem Jeffries | <1% | – |
| Adam Schiff | <1% | – |
| Josh Stein | <1% | – |
| Alex Padilla | <1% | – |
| Candace Owens | <1% | – |
| Tim Scott | <1% | – |
| Mike Johnson | <1% | – |
| Doug Burgum | <1% | – |
| John N. Kennedy | <1% | – |
| Rick Scott | <1% | – |
- JD Vance 20%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 13%
- Jon Ossoff 11%
100%50%0%
Jul 2025Feb 2026Oct 2026
Key questions
When is the vote?
Tuesday, November 7, 2028 (in 762 days).
Who is expected to win?
JD Vance, with a market-implied probability of 20%, ahead of Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at 13%. Updated 2026-10-07 13:52 UTC.
What do these percentages mean?
The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.