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Elon Musk
Elon Musk, born in 1971 in Pretoria, South Africa, is a businessman with South African, Canadian and U.S.
- Born
- 1971 (55 years), Pretoria
- Party
- America Party
- Education
- Smith School of Business, The Wharton School
Far right · Where sources place this person
Wikipedia: supporter of global far-right politics, figures and parties
Ideology: right-wing populism, libertarianism
<1%Probability · Presidential Election Winner 2028
- 1h change
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- (in 762 days)
citizenship. He led Tesla and SpaceX, was the largest donor of the 2024 U.S. presidential election, and headed the Department of Government Efficiency until May 2025. He is named in the market on the 2028 U.S. presidential election; Wikipedia notes he is not a natural-born citizen, which Article II requires.
Career
Musk was born on 28 June 1971 in Pretoria and has been an American citizen since 2002. Wikipedia lists him as an independent Republican. He was the largest donor in the 2024 presidential election, supporting Donald Trump. After Trump's January 2025 inauguration he served as senior advisor to the President and de facto head of the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) until May 2025. He founded the America Party and America PAC to support right-wing candidates.
Positions
Wikipedia describes Musk as a supporter of global far-right politics, figures and parties. It reports public backlash in 2025 over DOGE's cuts to USAID. It also states that, having been born abroad, he is ineligible for the presidency, since Article II requires a natural-born citizen.
Summarised automatically from the linked sources. Wikipedia
Photo: Gage Skidmore, CC BY-SA 4.0, Wikimedia Commons (cropped)
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- Elon Musk <1%
Jul 2025Feb 2026Oct 2026
Presidential Election Winner 2028
| Outcome | Left – Right | Age | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| JD Vance | 20% | ||
| Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | Left | 36 | 13% |
| Jon Ossoff | Centre-left | 39 | 10% |
| Gavin Newsom | Centre-left | 58 | 8% |
| Marco Rubio | Right | 55 | 6% |
| Kamala Harris | 4% | ||
| Josh Shapiro | Centre-left | 53 | 3% |
| Ron DeSantis | Right | 48 | 3% |
| Pete Buttigieg | Centre-left | 44 | 3% |
| Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson | 54 | 2% | |
| Tucker Carlson | Right | 57 | 2% |
| Elon Musk | Far right | 55 | <1% |