Election TrackerHow it worksFor newsrooms
EN

Home › United States

Donald Trump

Donald Trump

Donald Trump, born in 1946, is an American Republican, a businessman and media personality who was the 45th President of the United States from 2017 to 2021 and has been the 47th since 2025.

Born
1946 (80 years), Jamaica Hospital Medical Center
Party
Republican Party
Office
President of the United States 2025–
Education
Fordham University, The Wharton School
Website
donaldjtrump.com
Political position

Right · Where sources place the party (Republican Party)
Placed with the Republican Party; Wikipedia gives no separate placing
Ideology: conservatism, national conservatism

1%Probability · Presidential Election Winner 2028

1h change
–
24h change
0 pts
1w change
0 pts
Voting day
(in 762 days)

He won the 2016 and 2024 elections and lost in 2020. He is named in the market on the winner of the 2028 US presidential election.

Career

Trump worked as a businessman and media personality before politics and has been a Republican since 2012, after earlier memberships including the Democratic and Reform parties. He defeated Hillary Clinton in 2016, lost to Joe Biden in 2020 and defeated Kamala Harris in 2024. The House impeached him in 2019 and in 2021, and the Senate acquitted him both times. The 22nd Amendment limits presidents to two elected terms, and Wikipedia says his two terms were separated, so the amendment bars him from a further run.

Offices held
  1. President of the United States 2017–2021, 2025–
  2. President-elect of the United States 2016–2017, 2024–2025

Source: Wikidata

Summarised automatically from the linked sources. Wikipedia

Photo: Daniel Torok, Public domain, Wikimedia Commons (cropped)

  1. Donald Trump 1%
100%50%0%

Jul 2025Feb 2026Oct 2026

Presidential Election Winner 2028

OutcomeLeft – RightAgeProbability
JD Vance20%
Alexandria Ocasio-CortezLeft3613%
Jon OssoffCentre-left3910%
Gavin NewsomCentre-left588%
Marco RubioRight556%
Kamala Harris4%
Josh ShapiroCentre-left533%
Ron DeSantisRight483%
Pete ButtigiegCentre-left443%
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson542%
Tucker CarlsonRight572%
Donald TrumpRight801%

All 54 outcomes

Embed this widget

Paste this code into an article or page. The widget updates by itself: the market-implied probability before the vote, live on election night, then the official result.

Preview

More widgets and options for newsrooms →