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Nayarit Governor Election Winner 2027

23 outcomes · Voting day: (in 236 days)

70% chance to win Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez

▲7 pts in 7 days

Probability

50%
Aug 7Oct 13

6% chance to win Héctor Santana García

▼5 pts in 7 days

Probability

50%
Aug 6Oct 13

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OutcomeProbability24h change
Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez70%▲18 pts
Hilaria Domínguez Arvizu14%▲2 pts
Ivideliza Reyes Hernández7%▲3 pts
Héctor Santana García6%▼1 pt
Geraldine Ponce Méndez4%0 pts
Ivonne Sabrina Díaz2%0 pts
Manuel Cota Jiménez1%▲1 pt
Citlalli Rubí Huerta1%0 pts
Pavel Jarero Velázquez1%–
Luis Zamora Carrillo<1%0 pts
Nadia Ramírez López<1%0 pts
Jesús Armando Vélez Macías<1%–
Gloria Núñez Sánchez<1%–
José Ramón Cambero Pérez<1%–
Jorge Armando Ortiz Rodríguez<1%0 pts
Paola Vargas Arciniega<1%–
Julieta Mejía Ibáñez<1%–
María Elizabeth López Blanco<1%–
Gustavo Ayón Aguirre<1%–
Ignacio Flores Medina<1%–
José Antonio Barajas López<1%0 pts
Enrique Díaz López<1%–
Héctor Javier Santana García Resolved0%–
  1. Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez 70%
100%50%0%

Aug 6Sep 9Oct 13

Key questions

When is the vote?

Sunday, June 6, 2027 (in 236 days).

Who is expected to win?

Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez, with a market-implied probability of 70%, ahead of Hilaria Domínguez Arvizu at 14%. Updated 2026-10-13 06:37 UTC.

What do these percentages mean?

Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez 70%

The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.

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