Mexico Legislative Election Winner 2027

Q: When is the vote?

Sunday, June 6, 2027 (in 242 days).

Q: Who is expected to win?

Morena, with a market-implied probability of 87%, ahead of PAN at 7%. Updated 2026-10-07 13:46 UTC.

Q: What do these percentages mean?

The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.

6 outcomes · Voting day: Sun, Jun 6, 2027 (in 242 days)

87% chance to win Morena

▼3 pts in 7 days

Probability

50%

May 2026Oct 2026

7% chance to win PAN

▲1 pt in 7 days

Probability

50%

May 2026Oct 2026

Use widget

Outcome	Probability	24h change
Morena	87%	▲1 pt
PAN	7%	0 pts
PRI	3%	–
MC	<1%	–
PT	<1%	–
PVEM	<1%	–

Morena 87%
PAN 7%

100%50%0%

May 2026Jul 2026Oct 2026

Key questions

When is the vote?

Sunday, June 6, 2027 (in 242 days).

Who is expected to win?

Morena, with a market-implied probability of 87%, ahead of PAN at 7%. Updated 2026-10-07 13:46 UTC.

What do these percentages mean?

The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.

Embed this widget

Paste this code into an article or page. The widget updates by itself: the market-implied probability before the vote, live on election night, then the official result.

<iframe src="https://electiontracker.eu/embed/mexico/legislative-election-2027" title="Mexico Legislative Election Winner" width="100%" height="400" style="border:0;max-width:640px" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<script src="https://electiontracker.eu/embed.js" async></script>

Preview

More widgets and options for newsrooms →