Nuevo León Governor Election Winner 2027

Q: When is the vote?

Sunday, June 6, 2027 (in 236 days).

Q: Who is expected to win?

Mariana Rodríguez Cantú, with a market-implied probability of 27%, ahead of Adrián de la Garza Santos at 26%. Updated 2026-10-13 15:25 UTC.

Q: What do these percentages mean?

The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.

21 outcomes · Voting day: Sun, Jun 6, 2027 (in 236 days)

27% chance to win Mariana Rodríguez Cantú

0 pts in 7 days

Probability

50%

Aug 7Oct 13

26% chance to win Adrián de la Garza Santos

▼3 pts in 7 days

Probability

50%

Aug 6Oct 13

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Outcome	Probability	24h change
Mariana Rodríguez Cantú	27%	▼4 pts
Adrián de la Garza Santos	26%	▲2 pts
Waldo Fernández González	18%	▲1 pt
Clara Luz Flores Carrales	14%	▲2 pts
Tatiana Clouthier Carrillo	6%	▲1 pt
Alma Rosa Marroquín Escamilla	5%	0 pts
Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas	4%	▼1 pt
Jesús Alberto Elizondo	4%	▼4 pts
Félix Arratia Cruz	3%	0 pts
Martha Herrera González	2%	0 pts
Felipe de Jesús Cantú Rodríguez	2%	0 pts
Miguel Flores Serna	2%	0 pts
Carlos de la Fuente Flores	2%	▼1 pt
Andrés Mijes Llovera	1%	▼1 pt
Arturo Salinas Garza	1%	0 pts
Daniel Carrillo Martínez	1%	0 pts
Judith Díaz Delgado	1%	0 pts
Raúl Lozano Caballero	1%	0 pts
Héctor García García	<1%	0 pts
Fernando Margáin Berlanga	<1%	0 pts
Annia Gómez Cárdenas	<1%	0 pts

Mariana Rodríguez Cantú 27%
Adrián de la Garza Santos 26%

100%50%0%

Aug 6Sep 9Oct 13

Key questions

When is the vote?

Sunday, June 6, 2027 (in 236 days).

Who is expected to win?

Mariana Rodríguez Cantú, with a market-implied probability of 27%, ahead of Adrián de la Garza Santos at 26%. Updated 2026-10-13 15:25 UTC.

What do these percentages mean?

Mariana Rodríguez Cantú 27%

The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.

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Nuevo León Governor Election 2027: Mariana Rodríguez Cantú, with a market-implied probability of 27%, ahead of Adrián de la Garza Santos at 26%. Source: electiontracker.eu, October 13, 2026